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Swag Valance's avatar

Working for Singularity University itself a decade ago, and monitoring a lot of technological and social changes and upheavals since then, I've come to a very different set of conclusions about human progress than Tim Urban's Wait But Why.

I've perhaps fallen more into the John Gray than Steven Pinker camp on this one. But everywhere I've observed so-called "abundance", I've witnessed scarcity merely shifting somewhere else or changing form. Every time I've been tempted to believe in an ever-accumulating knowledge and wisdom of our species, I've discovered more and more concrete examples of how so-called "primitive" societies knew things that modern man has completely forgotten and is clueless to remember today.

Which isn't to say I'm a doomer. I'm just more of a finite systems thinker. One who believes we forget, often intentionally, at least as much as we learn. How our minds atrophy in a kind of biological garbage collection so that our dendrites might be consumed instead by the new fads of a new time. Human progress thus becomes more a rearranging of the furniture than some grand capitalistic orgy of infinite exponential expansion.

I do like the surfboard analogy, as it relinquishes greater control to forces beyond ourselves and requires us to work within their larger energy waves. But cognitive debt is pretty much a requirement for our broader social adoption of AI in any meaningful way, for example. Children need to learn the value of unlearning.

Dino Masson's avatar

Bookmarked. Thanks for your valuable article! Lots of ah-ah moments. 😊 🙏

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