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Luc Lalande's avatar

Props for adding Klee's Fish Magic to the post!

Swag Valance's avatar

I'm not as optimistic as you here. The "intelligence as electricity" is a good framing in the "AI as normal technology" sense. However, "intelligence" is a word that stands to replace Tesla's "autopilot" as a more robust cognitive analogy than deserved.

That last mile matters, and it can mean the difference between life or death if not respected. Yes, we can take all the data on the Internet and run a regression towards the mean as a kind of wisdom of the crowds. But things like hallucinations aren't bugs to be squashed as much as they are core to the inner workings of this generation of AI technology.

Personally, I don't see the path to where you expect yet until, as Altman suggested days ago, a new paradigm shift is necessary to reach these goals. Hence why all the classic researchers have fled for other pastures. Not to mention that humans aren't binary, and modeling quantum humans in binary is riddled with errors. (A nod here to my belief that quantum computers offer a way better route than brute-force binary ones.)

As for the second "AI as magic" premise, the magic won't last. The best popular encapsulation of this social phenomenon was explained 15 years ago by comedian Louis C.K. as "Everything is amazing but nobody is happy": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdFB7q89_3U

Which I can summarize as, "How quickly the world owes him something he knew existed only 10 seconds ago."

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